Hunt The Wumpus

Still Under Construction, June 2021
The introduction is always the hardest part to write. After 6m of running numbers via various s/w it seems it'll be another 6m before I can synthesize any nontrivial summary to put on this page.
Starting from my preferred state of ignorance I've searched down many rabbit holes to find some of the crazy ideas from UFO folklore seem to have some backing in various datasets.

If you can predict when and where some phenomenon will occur or be observed then perhaps you understand something about the world.

These pages will attempt to bring my experience in hard-headed data science to the analysis of (primarily) sighting data combined with any other data series I find online to answer questions and/or provide evidence of aerial and underwater phenomena.

Archive of public USENET posts on UFO's.

[last update: Thu Apr 29 11:13:01 UTC 2021].

A couple other collections:
https://alt.paranet.ufo.narkive.com/
 alt.ufo.reports.narkive.com
 https://groups.google.com/d/forum/alt.ufo.reports
(This group may be subject to supression efforts from trolls).
 News from Kym Horsell and Skywatcher
https://alt.appalachian.narkive.com/5ohJNvOA/news-from-kym-horsell-and-skywatcher
(Appreciate the billing :).

Teaser: things that predict UFO sightings:

  • Ocean temperatures at interesting locations e.g. Sea of Japan, NE Siberia, location of Atlantis.
  • Polar sea ice
  • Atmospheric N2O
  • Seasonal blooms of polar plankton
  • Cosmic ray neutron counts

    Some very preliminary plots.

    Teaser: sea-ice density across the Arctic Ocean highly correlates with UFO sightings

    Correlating daily sea-ice from sat radar returns against daily UFO sightings shows interesting geographic patterns suggesting folklore about "Siberian UFO bases" may hold some water. here.

    Teaser: Voyager probes seemed to change UFO activity

    The smoothed UFO sightings curve seems to support the stats model that finds alternating alarm and habituation as the 2 Voyager probes first approached and then receded from the outer planets. The visit by V2 to Neptune seems to have created a permanent state of "alert".

    NUFORC monthly sightings 1950-2000

    Zoom: 1975-2000