Newsgroups: alt.ufo.reports
From: kymhorsell@gmail.com
Subject: the opposite of ufos

[uploaded 19 times; last 17/09/2024]

I like to start out with a mystery title. But the mystery in this case
really can't wait till the last line of the post. That's how I'd LIKE
to do it. But I can't this time.

The opposite of UFO's seems to be shadow people.  We'll get to the
statistical evidence for the strange claim down below. But first we
have to negotiate a maze or two.

The little AI programs have been ticking over on a long list of
puzzles that either I've given them or they have given each other. One
of the general areas of puzzle is -- if these objects are real, and by
now we are probably 99.999% sure they are and are not (all) Chinese
balloons and not (all) experimental drones being flown out of Nevada
-- who are piloting them?

While some sketchy evidence suggests the answer depends on exactly
what kind of UFO you're talking about, there is a long list of
suspects from the folklore to start with.

At some point we'll look at the evidence for some of the things they
AI's have come up with. We've already looked a couple of times at
"humanoids" and there are also some new developments in that area,
too.  But one of the things that has come up and at one point stymied
the programs were "shadow people".

If you haven't gone down this particular rabbit hole the outline is
people have seen for many years -- some say centuries -- what appear
to be humanoids but they are "blacked out". Usually the sightings
happen under low-light conditions, but sometimes people say they've
seen these things in more or less broad daylight. Some videos
circulating in the paranormal research groups have shown what looks
like the old comic book "negative man" moving around people's homes
and in one case laying on someone's bed.

The first problem to test any link between these entities and UFO's is
to get the data on "shadow person" sightings.  Unfortunately, it seems
very few groups have bothered to get data on these things albeit it is
often claimed that sightings of them are lately on the rise. At best,
it seemed, you could get the "top 10 spookiest sightings of shadow
people" but if you wanted a list of dates when the entities were
sighted you had to wait until someone thought to setup a reporting line.

But the AI programs managed to dream up one way to get a handle on the
sightings. I had previously collected an old UK-based "ghost
database".  Not much had come of this apart from a brief check that
the way ghost sightings in the UK rise and fall over time looked
nothing like the way UFO sightings in N America rise and fall over
time.  It seemed from prelim statistical tests (general) ghosts and
UFO's where not related. One caveat: poltergeist reports in the same
database *did* seem to correspond in some way to UFO sightings. So
they may be linked in one or other ways.

But to return to shadow people. It turned out the word "shadow" was
mentioned in many of the reports in the ghost database.  So the AI's
naturally latched onto this to create the "list of shadow people
sightings" on a hunch they would be approx the same thing as the kind
of entity being sought.  And it does seem the idea is worth looking at.

The first thing the program did after making up appropriate data-files
was to check which planetary movements the sightings of "shadows"
corresponded to, if any. And -- surprise -- Saturn came up dozens of
times in the list. Many parameters of the movement of Saturn are
strongly linked with "shadow" sightings. The best links seem to explain
60% of "shadow" sightings in the UK over the period of the database
~1950 upto now.

But -- as we might recall -- which Saturn is certainly one of the
planets that seems to have "an" affinity for UFO's in general and many
specific types of UFO's in particular the best matches are not with
Saturn by with Neptune, Uranus and Pluto (approx in that kind of order).

So upto this point we had kinda verified that a direct comparison of
shadows and UFO's did not align very well. But some planet that kinda
explained some UFO sightings a little also was a good match for
explaining "shadow" sightings. So close. But no close enough.

Given this situation the AI programs cast around for some kind of
model such that the same model explained UFO's and also "shadows".
And one thing they immediately found was something that may turn out
to be useful in other ways -- whether planets were in "retrograde
motion" or not.

"Retrograde" is the illusion that a planet has moving in the wrong
direction across the sky.  Normally, like satellites, planets slowly
move across the sky from west to east. The change is only usually
visible over many nights where you can see a given planet has changed
its position relative to some nearby star(s). As the earth and the
planets move around the sun in the same direction, the earth tends to
lap the slower outer planets and be lapped by the faster-moving inner
planets.  At the point one planet overtakes another here on planet
dirt we noticed that planet has stopped moving in the normal direction
across the sky and appeared to have selected reverse gear and be
moving from east to west for a while. Retrograde.

It's usually the case *some* planet is in retrograde motion every day
of the year. But when more than one is in retrograde it's slightly
unusual. And today -- so a post from some yoga magazine told me today
-- 7 planets are in retrograde now.

So the AI's made up a model of predicting UFO sightings and another
model predicting "shadow" sightings based on how many or which
planets were in retrograde at and given time.

And it turned out the models worked fine. But more interestingly, it
turned out the model for UFO's was "the opposite" of the one for "shadows".

Without going too deep (again) into the way these things get modelled,
the output from the UFO model looked like:

VARIABLE     COEFFICIENT    STAND. ERROR     T - VALUE     P - VALUE
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 date                  6.97060         0.75838       9.19145       0.00000
   x1                -41.79969        32.51585      -1.28552       0.19899
   x2                -33.28293        43.59285      -0.76350       0.44540
   x3               -122.52172        43.00866      -2.84877       0.00450
   x4                296.87747        38.13225       7.78547       0.00000
   x5               -121.72609        35.10668      -3.46732       0.00055
   x6                -42.10958        31.18896      -1.35014       0.17736
   x7                 57.90410        39.94832       1.44948       0.14760
   x8                -60.97301        41.53717      -1.46791       0.14253
CONSTANT          -13405.09473      1507.17029      -8.89421       0.00000
 SUM OF SQUARES          = 139381248.00000
 DEGREES OF FREEDOM      =       785
 SCALE ESTIMATE          =       421.37363
(Where x1..x8 were measure of how fast planets appeared to be moving
across the sky in degrees per month; -ve numbers indicating retrograde
motion. The planets in order are jupiter, mars, mercury, neptune,
pluto, saturn, uranus and venus).

And the one for "shadows" looked like:
date               -0.00175         0.00883      -0.19845       0.84334
x1                 -0.00232         0.25907      -0.00897       0.99287
x2                 -0.10892         0.31398      -0.34689       0.72985
x3                  0.08256         0.33963       0.24310       0.80873
x4                 -0.49764         0.31599      -1.57486       0.12038
x5                  0.76599         0.26511       2.88926       0.00531
x6                  0.10646         0.29241       0.36407       0.71705
x7                 -0.07420         0.29238      -0.25379       0.80050
x8                 -0.40326         0.30461      -1.32385       0.19041
CONSTANT            5.15836        17.63070       0.29258       0.77082
SUM OF SQUARES          =        54.25307
DEGREES OF FREEDOM      =        62
SCALE ESTIMATE          =         0.93544


When the AI's lined up these 2 models they found you could calculate
the coefficients for one quite closely from the coefficients of the
other. Moreover, there was a key -ve sign in there are means that if
the coefficient for the UFO model was increasing from one planet to
another, the corresp coefficient in the "shadow" model would be
decreasing; and vice-versa.

Model parameters:
Shadow      UFO           Predicted 
(x)         (y)
-0.00232     -41.7997     -11.6371
-0.10892     -33.2829      12.4348
0.08256     -122.522     -30.8043
-0.49764      296.877      100.214*
0.76599     -121.726     -185.133
0.10646     -42.1096     -36.2013
-0.0742      57.9041      4.59452
-0.40326      -60.973      78.9013*
y = -225.815*x + -12.161
T-test: P(beta<0) = 0.955627
Rank test: reject H0:not_related at 95% confidence.
r2 = 0.40700687

So it seems UFO's and shadow people are somehow "complimentary".
You can take the model for e.g. "shadows" and convert it roughly to a
model to predict UFO's from the same data by a simple linear
transformation of the coefficients.  The 2 things "sum to 0" could be
a mental model of the relationship.

And why that might be in another topic for investigation.  The
preliminary doodling from the AI's suggests, among other things, that
"shadow people" might represent times when UFO's find making a trip
from (wherever) to planet dirt is more difficult than average.  And
then UFO sightings go down and shadow sightings go up.  While there is
also a suggestion that some types of UFO's +ve correlate with shadow
people, it may be that if you can't fly your saucer to earth because
it's on the other side of the sun now, or too far, then fire up the
shadow person machine and go there that way.  If you happen to be
flying some special type of UFO it comes with a shadow person machine
and you can get around town that way instead of risking your neck.
The natives are not all that friendly and some are armed to the teeth.

--
Welcome to the very first official UFO hearing in American history
It's a historic day for everybody who has always wondered if we are alone in
the universe. Although there have already been multiple hearings on UFOs or
UAPs, this is the first hearing in which credible witnesses will testify
under oath in front of Congress. All representatives already offered their
initial remarks and gave all three witnesses the chance to make their oath
before the hearing starts. These witnesses are former Commander David Fravor,
former fighter jet operator Ryan Graves, and former Intelligence Official
David Grusch.
-- Marca.com, Wed Jul 26 10:48:24 EDT 2023

Pilot UFO Sightings Collected by NASA Reveal Serious Safety Concerns Over
Objects in U.S. Airspace
The Debrief, 29 Aug 2023
Several incident reports describing recent U.S. pilot UFO sightings in
controlled airspace convey the serious concerns aviators have about
potential collisions with unknown objects, The Debrief has learned.
The unresolved aerial encounters with what the Pentagon now calls
unidentified anomalous phenomena, or UAP, were filed as incident
reports with NASA's Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) and
describe events in U.S. airspace that highlight ongoing safety concerns
associated with appearances of aerial objects of unknown origin. [...]
In 2021, the FAA said for the first time publicly in a statement
provided to The Debrief that it "documents Unidentified Aerial
Phenomenon (UAP) sightings whenever a pilot reports one to an air
traffic control facility." [...]
To date, there is still no formal government reporting system for
pilots and others to use to directly report their UAP encounters to
[Pentagon UFO dept] AARO, more than a year after the office was officially
established.

[They-re Ba-ack!]
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forward and takes one for the team.  There seems to be no provenance
for the vid. It may be another of many hoaxes based on a computer game
under development.  But there are some stories Russian missile
batteries have tried to destroy UFO's flying over remote territory
just as the US has shot down "unidentified balloons" off Alaska and
Canada.  In those cases one vid was released by the Pentagon while
shoot-downs of the others have been apparently classified top secret].

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Yahoo, 22 Aug 2023 17:21Z
Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are looking to expand their
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Phys.org, 21 Aug 2023 17:21Z
In 2017, humanity got its first glimpse of an interstellar object (ISO),
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[Do tell! :)]