Newsgroups: alt.ufo.reports
From: kymhorsell@gmail.com
Subject: aircraft seen "chasing" ufos

[uploaded 39 times; last 17/09/2024]

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
- We look at ~50 UFO sightings in the US involving unknown objects 
  apparently being chased by convention aircraft incl military jets.
- The pattern of "chases" can be predicted by many other data
  including UFO sightings over (specifically) Montana -- possibly
  related to visits to strategic locations -- or even sightings of Bigfoot.
- Other predictive variables include weather conditions in the Arctic
  and Southern Ocean and ocean temperatures down to 100m.
- Patterns familiar from prev posts include a link with
  cosmic rays as detected in Hawaii and phytoplankton growth in the
  Southern Ocean and near the South Pole ("southwest Antarctic").


While military research on UFOs may have been kept under wraps for
most of the past 70y, sightings of military jets chasing various odd
things in the sky have been a regular feature of reports from the 60s.

From the NUFORC database reports featuring terms of some object being
"chased" by conventional aircraft, mostly jets and mostly "military jet", 
the data looks like:

Year	Number of "X chased by [military] jet"
1965	1
1972	1
1975	1
1978	2
1991	1
1994	1
1997	1
1999	1
2001	1
2003	1
2005	1
2007	3
2008	5
2009	2
2010	3
2011	2
2012	6	<-- max
2014	4
2015	1
2016	4
2017	2
2018	2
2019	2
2020	2


We can throw this into the usual s/w to determine which features of
the weather, planetary positions or other odd sightings have
"something to do with" jets chasing UFO's.

And the results are interesting and maybe offer clues to why there is
suddenly such interest, at least in some parts of the US military, to
figure out more about the objects and their possible intentions.

The list of what the AI thinks are "interesting" relationships culled
from 1000s of highly significant predictive models is as follows:


Suspect         Lag  Filter  Transf  R2           Beta +- 90% CI
                (y)
ufo-MT          4    1.5     -y      0.89353510   -0.112393 +- 0.0106106
ufo-Flash       5    1.5     -y      0.84043239   -0.0346914 +- 0.00468413
sduranus-lonecl 2    1.5             0.81001783   0.0366979 +- 0.00412745
ufo-MN          10   1.5     -y      0.80624149   -0.0929728 +- 0.0134273
lat80           2    1.5     -y      0.78204495   -2.62918 +- 0.322344
zband-5         4    1.5             0.77055021   -0.386999 +- 0.086314
zseg12          0    1.5             0.73821817   -0.174271 +- 0.0379927
arc-170         2    1.5     -y      0.70804706   -0.297249 +- 0.0443279
N               4    1.5             0.63370722   0.505156 +- 0.113143
maxaravgNHocean 4    1.5             0.62525968   -1.00805 +- 0.184962
pseudo2         10   1.5     -y      0.60959902   -0.258469 +- 0.0664967
n2o_spo         1    1.5     -y      0.59033774   -0.0134603 +- 0.00302519
minuah_globe6   1    1.5     -y      0.58014094   -0.501758 +- 0.121905
cosmic-HLEA     4    1.5             0.52543972   -0.000196504 +- 0.000107035
bigfootann      3    1.5     -y      0.52259222   -0.792821 +- 0.389877
maxaravgSHland  2    1.5             0.52226509   -0.719832 +- 0.168502
dep1            0    1.5             0.33006614   -0.0924957 +- 0.0342

As usual, all these ARMA models pass statistical tests equiv to 99%
confidence. This is high enough that most if not all the above are not
just due to chance patterns in the datasets.

At the top of the list is ufo-MT -- the code for UFO sightings over
Montana. Apparently UFO sightings over Montana look like the pattern
of UFO's chased by jets around 4 years later.  Why Montana? We can
maybe guess it might have something to do with ICBMs or strategic nukes.

There have been some fairly well documented cases of "visitations" to
ICBM silos where missiles appeared to be deactivated. We can speculate
sections of the military might want to prevent repeat performances of
same and be prepared to at least try to harass unidentified aircraft
that were trying to overfly strategic sites.

Most of the other items follow familiar patterns. Chases have
"something to do with" temperatures nr the north pole ("lat80"), cloud
heights over the Southern Ocean ("zband-5"), and plankton growth in
the southern hemisphere and nr south pole ("pseudo2" and "n2o_spo").

Water temperatures between depths of 1 and 100 m predict about 1/3 of
chases (in the same year) and Bigfoot sightings across the US predict
about 1/2 of chases 3y later.

And, finally, we see a return of a relationship with cosmic radiation.
It seems UFO chases like other UFO sightings are affected by cosmic rays. 
In this case the code HLEA is the station in Hawaii that measures the
radiation. Rays at that location predict around 1/2 of UFO chase
sightings 4 years later. The \beta shows that more radiation foreshadows
fewer chases in later years.  From prev data posted it seems UFO's hide
out in periods when cosmic rays are high. If "they" evolved in the
deep oceans on Earth or some other planet or moon it would make sense
they maybe haven't developed the kind of thick skins humans and other
surface dwellers might have.

Some of these relationships are unexplained; some have a better mental model.  
Conditions in the Southern Ocean incl plankton growth and N2O
levels in the atm in key locations seem to be a major concern of some
chunk of UFO activity. We've looked at this before and it seems a
chunk of UFO sightings seem to highly correlate with edible
phytoplankton (algae) but not so much with inedible phytoplankton
(types related to red tides) or plankton that sustains O2 levels in the atm. 
We might speculate it's a food and raw chemicals source.

If Our Friends (tm; not necessarily friendly) come from some other
planet, as indicated by the highly significant links between UFO
sightings (incl chases) and the positions of key outer planets like
Uranus, maybe Earth plankton is a secondary food source similar to
what they find back home.  Or if UFO are "home grown" it may relate to
a human or nonhuman group living sustainably "off the (human) grid".

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