Newsgroups: alt.astronomy,alt.ufo.reports
From: kymhorsell@gmail.com
Subject: bright/dark pulses seen by TESS between earth and moon correlate with UFO activity

[uploaded 37 times; last 17/09/2024]

We've looked at several datastreams coming from the TESS telescope
that's in an orbit between the earth and moon.

If objects are coming and going in the region we assume some might
block some of the 5000 stars being monitored by the telescope for
planetary transits and if several stars in the same region of the sky
seem to dim (or brighten) together we may have detected an object
moving between the telescope and the relevant target stars.

We produced movies showing the light variations seen by TESS using the
central pixel for each of its target stars, a processed version of
that data supposedly ready for use to detect planetary transits, and
also the "background" around the stars being targeted.

It turned out the background regions had more information than the
others. But since any supposed object moving around maybe did not
cross directly in front of a bright star -- one of those on the TESS
target list -- it was likely to be easier to see illuminated or bright
objects than dark ones. And that seemed to be borne out by the movies.
(Bright flashes outnumbers dark ones in the "background" movie but
were more equal in the "central pixel" movies).

But the next link in a long chain, one actually established before the
movie making process was started, is to show which sections of the sky
correlate with what kind of UFO activity, if any, reported in the
skies over N Am.

After updating the local copy of the UFO sightings database from the
latest UFO reports from the NUFORC to the end of August 2022 we now
have 2 different kinds of UFO reports that can be checked against the
light variation in each section of the telescope's sky -- the overall
UFO sighting numbers from NUFORC, and the "MADAR" sightings reported
in the NUFORC database but apparently related to a project originally
from MUFON that established a network of magnetic anomaly detectors
across the US that supposedly detect certain types of unusual activity
that has been informally linked with parallel sightings of unusual
lights and other objects in the sky.

For each 10x10deg "tile" of the sky that was produced for the various
movies previously discussed we can then go tile-by-tile and discover
how statistically close the various UFO sightings types are to the
sometimes erratic increasing and decreasing of brightness of multiple
stars allocated to the tile.

It turns out around 1/2 the sky seen between the earth and moon -- out
of around 650 tiles in all -- is very strongly correlated with UFO
activity over N Am.  By "highly correlated" we mean a time series
regression that allows for various effects related to serial
correlations in the data shows that 2 key statistical tests pass at
better than 95% confidence.  Each square must show a "dose
relationship" between the brightness of that tile and daily count of
UFO sightings of the relevant type.  And the ordering of data by
brightness must be the essentially the same as the ordering of the
data by UFO activity.  Together these tests should push the
possibility of a "false positive" down to 1 chance in 1000 or even
less. IOW, of the 650 tiles we monitor only about 1 tile might be
shown as a false positive in each time step -- the majority should be
"correct". (There is a quibble that some of them will be "false
negatives" but we conservatively assume anything that can not be shown
to correlate just does not correlate).

We've produced some "maps" to parallel the movies previously
discussed.  3 density plots show the "R2" of the time series
regression between each tile's background brightness and different
types of UFO activity.  The 3 types we've plotted to date are "all
types of UFO activity, including possible mistaken sightings", "MADAR
reports of UFO activity", and a 3rd map that takes the points of
highest R2 from each of the first 2 maps to show a "either MADAR or
overall activity, whichever is more likely".

These 3 maps are presently uploaded at
<kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/mapufo2020.gif>,
<kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/mapufomadar2020.gif>,
and <kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/mapall.gif>.

In each plot the colour key is on the right. Tiles in the sky with no
correlation with the relevant activity are shown as yellow ("R2=0").
As the relevant R2 increases to its maximum the colour goes through
green, blue and violet.  The violet points are hard to see because
they are relatively small and few in number. But they must be there or
the scale would be truncated by the plotting package (an ancient
version of GNUPLOT).

Perhaps more interestingly we can make similar maps based on the
"lags" introduced to maximise the various R2's.  While the 2 types of
data -- brightness curve from some tile, and UFO activity of whatever
type -- are known to significantly correlate we can make the R2 a
little larger, meaning the 2 curves appear even more similar, if we
time-shift the light curve by some number of days. The shift can be
left (earlier) or right (later in time). A -ve shift means the UFO
activity changed first and the tile changed brightness some number of
days later.  A +ve shift means the brightness changed first and the
UFO activity changed a number of days later. We can interpret -ve
shifts as tiles where unknown objects have gone after being seen on
earth, while +ve shifts are the possible origin of objects that were
seen later.

As before we can plot 3 different types of data -- "all UFO activity",
"UFO activity related to magnetic anomaly detection" (aka MADAR), and
both types of activity together, selecting the most likely (higher R2)
for each tile.

Those 3 maps are presently uploaded at
<kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/mapufo2020L.gif>,
<kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/mapufomadar2020L.gif>,
and <kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/mapallL.gif>.

While the AI's already have some overall ideas of how to generalise
what the various plots show in a simple way -- they are programmed to
find the "simplest hypothesis" that explains the greatest part of the
data they have available at the time -- I'll leave it as an exercise
for a little while for readers to try to interpret what the plots show.

If any reader wants to try to reproduce the same results, or their own
results, the TESS output is also available at
<kym.massbus.org/UFO/TESS/avg.tgz> 
as a gzip-ed tarball.  
(Sorry, folks, I'm UNIX-oriented and too old to change).  
Each file in the tarball is the avg brightness for a tile of the sky.  The 
filename gives the central RA and Dec of the tile. The timesteps are days 
from the date origin of the TESS project. We can assume here that is 
01 Jan 2015.

--
"Nothing in life is to be feared, it is only to be understood.
Now is the time to understand more, so that we may fear less."
- Marie Curie

US Navy Admits It Has More UFO Videos, But Don't Expect to See Them Anytime Soon
ScienceAlert, 11 Sep 2022 03:11Z
The US Navy holds unseen videos of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) - or
unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), as the ...

  Classified UFO videos would 'harm national security' if released, Navy says
  Live Science, 10 Sep 2022 10:59Z
  The US Navy holds unseen videos of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) - or
  unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), as the ...

  Navy tells watchdog site releasing all UFO videos would
  'harm national security'
  Washington Examiner on MSN.com, 09 Sep 2022 19:26Z
  A watchdog website says its Freedom of Information Act request for
  every UFO video held by the Navy was denied due to national security
  reasons.
  The Black Vault says that, since April 2020, it has been attempting to
  get all videos of UFOs (also called unidentified aerial phenomena)
  possessed by the Navy via a FOIA request.
  After receiving several rejections in which the Navy would neither
  confirm nor deny the existence of the videos, the group says it
  received a response denying the request for the "sensitive
  information."
  "The requested videos contain sensitive information pertaining to
  Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) and are classified and are exempt
  from disclosure," the letter read. "The release of this information
  will harm national security."
  [Every frame apparently contains things too scary to show the public].

The true story of how UFOs evolved from science fiction to a national
security priority
grid, 07 Sep 2022 18:32Z
It's never aliens. Nonetheless, Congress, NASA and the Defense
Dept have embraced a new era of UFO investigations.
[The directives makes it clear. If it's made on Earth some other
department handles it. If it's non-humans then the Pentagon's new UFO
office are in charge].

[It Must Be The Russians!]
Watch as US Navy's most advanced warship is buzzed by mysterious `UFO'
drone swarm amid cluster of close encounters
The Sun, 02 Sep 2022 11:51Z
NEW video shows a mysterious "drone swarm" buzzing the US Navy's most
advanced warship off the coast of California. Six ...
[In other news a "movie" of light curves from mns of images from
the TESS space telescope orbiting between the earth and moon show
unusual brightening and darkening pulses that highly correlate with
UFO activity observed across N Am.  <kym.massbus.org/UFO/moviebkg.mp4>].