Newsgroups: alt.ufo.reports
From: MrPostingRobot@kymhorsell.com
Subject: Martian weather reports seem to predict UFO's seen over Nevada

[uploaded 4 times; last 14/10/2024]

The AI programs started looking at Mars weather reports last night
sometime.  This morning they noticed something unusual and they
emailed me about it. And, yes, it does seem unusual.

Some time back I discovered -- OK, maybe some program told me about it
first -- that certain datasets seem to have been edited to remove
material that may show unusual things. A telescope database for
example seemed to have been retroactively scanned for unusual material
and that material pulled or blacked out. The patterns were quite quite
obvious and passed lots of statistical tests. The days before a UFO
flap saw decidedly fewer telescope images available for download than normal.

Since most of this material is either funded by or more or less
directly under control of military interests you can imagine some
office somewhere where they clock in at 0600, scan the reports of
unusual things pilots and swabbies have been seeing in the air and
water around the world for the past 24 and then going to all the
databases that might contain material that shows or might show some of
those things and pushing the big red DEL button. Better to be safe
than sorry about the Big Secret.

So now this same pattern has shown up in another database connected
with military interests. I wont finger the company involved. Like a
certain space agency that is essentially part of the military and
under orders to shut the hell up about anything on the Big Secret list
"or else", sub-contractors probably find from time to time the access
they grant their funding agencies for "oversight" purposes sometimes
have done things overnight that are a little convenient. Like DEL the
previous days work because it contravenes some hidden part of some
military orders somewhere. Better not to ask. Just cash the checks and
keep your noses clean.

The database concerned compresses the loads of Mars Orbiter data down
to a paragraph describing the weather on Mars. Part of the paragraph
deals with things from last week, and sometimes it predicts things you
might see next week. The robots have downloaded all ~600 reports that
have been made on a more-or-less weekly bassi since the Orbiter went
up in 2008. Except there are some sections I see now that are very
sparse on reports. You might imagine this could happen quite easily
because the Orbiter is a complex pice of equipment and probably has a
regular daily fit and starts spitting out garbage and needs constant
care an attention from a team of engineers just to get a daily ping answered.

But it is very very unusual that the number of reports rises and falls
in parallel with UFO reports the month after. In a negative sense.
More UFO reports next month, somehow fewer weather reports this month.
Sometimes the whole report goes MIA. Sometimes it gets edited down and
something is left out. The AI's see all and know more than they're
telling, generally, and they can spot there's a difference in number
of articles published and the size of the ones that are available. A
big fat statistical difference.

Here is the data we're using for this part -- the number of lines
in Martian weather reports  from some company paid to look at
Mars Orbiter images and figure out what's going on down there.
The number of lines for each month that are available on their web site
(just the weather report part -- not the headers, notes, links or
other guff any web page must have these days in order to be
rated readable):

2007.88 27 2007.96 40 2008.04 56 2008.12 43 2008.21 58 2008.29 77
2008.38 53 2008.46 49 2008.54 57 2008.62 45 2008.71 50 2008.79 69
2008.88 74 2008.96 19 2009.04 51 2009.12 57 2009.21 44 2009.29 64
2009.38 42 2009.46 37 2009.54 52 2009.62 52 2009.71 12 2009.96 18
2010.04 54 2010.12 55 2010.21 66 2010.29 45 2010.38 46 2010.46 54
2010.54 45 2010.62 40 2010.71 50 2010.79 47 2010.88 45 2010.96 63
2011.04 37 2011.12 17 2011.21 53 2011.29 38 2011.38 39 2011.46 64
2011.54 56 2011.62 69 2011.71 45 2011.79 50 2011.88 58 2011.96 53
2012.04 36 2012.12 49 2012.21 42 2012.29 39 2012.38 51 2012.46 39
2012.54 59 2012.62 29 2012.71 48 2012.79 60 2012.88 56 2012.96 50
2013.04 72 2013.12 60 2013.21 58 2013.29 48 2013.38 83 2013.46 46
2013.54 63 2013.62 37 2013.71 51 2013.79 63 2013.88 43 2013.96 35
2014.04 62 2014.12 38 2014.21 36 2014.29 39 2014.38 37 2014.46 58
2014.54 80 2014.62 56 2014.71 45 2014.79 97 2014.88 42 2014.96 92
2015.04 58 2015.12 60 2015.21 62 2015.29 73 2015.38 51 2015.46 24
2015.54 59 2015.62 44 2015.71 56 2015.79 47 2015.88 48 2015.96 54
2016.04 42 2016.12 39 2016.21 61 2016.29 55 2016.38 56 2016.46 46
2016.54 51 2016.62 66 2016.71 60 2016.79 50 2016.88 66 2016.96 47
2017.04 65 2017.12 58 2017.21 78 2017.29 51 2017.38 65 2017.46 52
2017.54 51 2017.62 48 2017.71 48 2017.79 44 2017.88 60 2017.96 43
2018.04 49 2018.12 29 2018.21 52 2018.29 53 2018.38 67 2018.46 64
2018.54 51 2018.62 62 2018.71 50 2018.79 42 2018.88 55 2018.96 51
2019.04 30 2019.12 49 2019.21 54 2019.29 52 2019.38 58 2019.46 57
2019.54 55 2019.62 29 2019.71 9 2021.88 18 2021.96 70 2022.04 66
2022.12 28
(For some reason weather reports started around 2007.  The NUFORC
started using a web report form around mid 2006.  I'm all for these
things being seen as coincidence and some event off California in 2004
had NOTHING to do with anything because it NEVER HAPPENED, you got me?).

The programs say they can even figure out what is missing in general
terms.  But it will take a few days to work up that tool-chain. In
the meantime I can share this with you.

Size of weather reports compared with number of UFO reports:

Lag     UFO type        R2              Beta            Stderr
(m)     (Shape/State)                                   (75% CI for Beta)
1       ANY/NV          0.32242655      -0.0909315      +-0.0365608 
1       Triangle/ANY    0.29131956      -0.500598       0.216555 
1       Light/IL        0.25085159      0.0519824       0.0260505 
1       Light/FL        0.21331652      -0.0920626      0.0497473 
1       ANY/NC          0.20652328      -0.162003       0.088073 
1       ANY/WA          0.15356817      -0.212689       0.138493 

Does anything stand out to you?

For some reason the "best model" this procedure found (others are
on-going) was that the monthly number of lines of weather report since
the service began has a spooky -ve correlation with the number of UFO
reports for the next month in Nevada. For each line of weather report
there are .09 fewer UFO reports next month. Or to put it another way,
for each UFO report received in one month, there are about 11 lines of
"missing" Martian weather report from the prev month and sometimes the
whole article.

Other patterns also seem to connect with generally a -ve correlation.
Except of Illinois where somehow a LITS sighting is associated with
"extra" lines of Martian weather reports.

And out of the 1,122 combinations of states and shapes these are the
only ones that have any strong correlation. Even Washington DC doesn't
seem to get a mention. Maybe because all the action there happened in
the 1950s when I was a kid and everyone that saw anything unusual has
convinced themselves it was a dream. So... SAFE!

Another little item in the inbox that also caught my attention:
another natural language AI has been going through the fine details of
the Martian weather reports to isolate any keywords that may be
predictive of some kind of UFO sightings back here on Dirt.  It might
be cute to find a particular shape/color/pilot-height is associated
with bad weather or good weather seen consistently over a certain
location the week before.

And. [Chokes on coffee]. Guess what? Something turned up right off the bat.

While this run will take a couple cpus a few days to churn all the way
through, within a few sec of starting the programs found a very big
hit on keyword Meridiani. In one model mentions of this word in
weather reports strongly correlate with UFO sightings the next week
across the US. Each mention is associated with a startling 18 more UFO
sightings per day in the following week. Whatever is happening there
is somehow of relevance to UFO activities a couple AU away.  (As usual
you can calculate a phony "how fast does the news of X travel from
Mars to Earth where it turns up as a bunch of UFO reports" -- the
answer is the "usual speed" I've been seeing in various models the
past few years -- about 1 AU per day).

Natch I did a Google search to find out what was with Meridiani.

It seems rover Opportunity has been tooling around there since it
landed about 20y ago. Even more interesting, it went dead in 2018.
Unusual timing.

But before it was pronounced dead it also spat back some info.

Science Highlights
science.nasa.gov
Opportunity found compelling signs of a watery past on Mars: clay
minerals formed in neutral-pH water. Of all the places studied by
Opportunity, this environment at Endeavour Crater once had the
friendliest conditions for ancient microbial life.

Maybe if it had kept its mouth shut like a good robot it would still
be in working order today.

Execution with the other stuff proceeds.

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