Newsgroups: alt.paranet.ufo
From: kymhorsell@gmail.com
Subject: ghost ships

[uploaded 47 times; last 31/10/2024]

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- We look at data on ocean and land weather around the world and try
  to locate regions that robustly predict the dates of discovery of
  so-called "ghost ships". Ships that turn up seemingly able to sail
  with life boats still attached. But no crew.
- The AI software (plus bugfixes!) used in other studies finds only 3
  regions seem to highly correlate with the dates of ghost ship
  discovery.  2 of them are in the Arctic off the Russian coast.
  Another relates to deep water around the Bermuda region.  The AI's
  were not told where the data came from. They "discovered" the
  location themselves. It's one of their impressive tricks.
- Of the UFO types examined so far, none seem to closely correspond
  with the regions found off Russia. But some UFO types are associated
  with the SW border of the Bermuda Triangle. Not specifically
  Bermuda.
- Crunching continues to identify more specific UFO types that might
  be related. Up to this point the data suggest if UFOs are involved
  at all only a select few might be responsible for the
  disappearances.  If UFO's have been a real thing all along -- as
  seems increasingly likely as days go by and insiders spill more
  beans -- they seemingly have "independent businesspeople" like
  us. Previous work has already suggested there is a UFO military
  and/or police force.


I know I probably have something broken inside. But I again found
myself watching the local "man channel" in the early hours of the
morning after watching some lights and light aircraft zooming around
the skies for 1/2 the night.

It was an ep from a repeat of one of those Bermuda Triangle things.
There have been a few of them over the years and even recently.  I
like this particular take -- a bunch of ex Navy divers going out in
boats to see what they can see, with a few informal interviews thrown
in and a few off-beat experiments to try to judge how things might be.
Seem like a nice bunch of kids and the programs are generally
entertaining.  This ep focused on the ghost ships seen in the Triangle
over the years and what might explain them. After 60 mins of talking to
people where it was revealed boats with missing crews
has taken a sharp up-tick since 2000 so much so that locals on one
island call the region off their coast "the parking lot" because so many
boats have been turning in the last few years seemingly left out on
the sea with no-one found on board, no signs of struggle or distress,
and even meals left on tables. But no people.

The up-shot of the ep was -- no explanation. While people jumping off
boats might have been eaten by the huge shark population in the
region, what was making them jump off their boats in the first place?
No-one really had a good explanation apart from "temporary insanity"
induced by unexplained conditions in the region.

So -- natch -- my programs have taken a look at this in the past and
didn't seem to find too much. But I took another look at what they'd
been up to, and found a big error in part of the s/w that tries to
digest stuff off the Internet -- in this case a Wikipedia page about
ghost ships in general (i.e. not limited just to the Bermuda
Triangle). Correcting that bug and getting them to re-do their
analysis based on the *complete* data-set they could now get out of the
wiki pages they came up with some fairly startling conclusions.

Again, the basic tool we're using here are correlations of some
phenomenon -- in this case the dates when each ghost ship as listed on
the wiki page was discovered -- and any other dataset the AI's can
dredge up from anywhere about anything. They are especially interested
in data that has a specific location attached to them. E.g.  datasets
like bucket measurements of ocean temperatures. Over the past 100+
years vessels of all types travelling the world's oceans have thrown
buckets over the side at irregular intervals, measured the water temp
in the retrieved water and written the details down in logbooks that
have subsequently been digitized. Nowadays the water measurements are
mostly made automatically in the bilges of the larger ocean vessels.
But some other boats still drop buckets over the side and do it manually.

But that is only 1 dataset. The AIs have a growing list well into the
10s of 1000s now. And they can also go out and find anything they might
need just by using internet search engines and parsing web pages
themselves. There are a couple of s/w components that just sit on my
Internet connection scanning for new stuff they figure might be useful
to the other AI components, or things the AI's have specifically put
in requests that they need for some part of their work.  It's all very
much like an automated office. Except everyone can do sophisticated
statistics and has an IQ over 150. :)

So after chugging for (checks stopwatch) 12 hours they've come up
with a set of locations across the Earth where some property that has
been monitored at least since 1950 shows a very high correlation with
the dates ghost ships have been turning up. All the correlates are
checked several different ways to make absolutely sure they are real
and not some kind of quirk or error. But even so, I have the final say
over whether or not something is accepted as valid input.

And that is important. Because very quickly (about 6 hrs back :) they
were pointing at a region off NE Russia where the water temperature
"somehow" predicted 70% of the ghost ships listed on wiki.  70%
sounded WAY too high. Considering the 2nd place they could find --
also along the Russian coast much further west -- "only" could
explain 20% of ghost ship occurrences.

I initially vetoed the 70% data and insisted the AI's just call that
as maybe a 21% explanation. I.e. just above the runner-up location.
Not the 2:1 ratio they initially claimed. But after an hour of hand
checking it turns out the AI's might be right. They point out while
the No 1 area is only an isolated region -- suspiciously (I thought)
not adjoining another area that has anything like the same kind of
correlation with the ghost ship dataset -- it does have more than
20,000 individual measurements associated with it.  It seems that part
of the Russian coast has accumulated a LOT of bucket measurements over
the years. And the good part about bucket data are -- they are mostly
all independent of each other. It's not like a ship sits at the same
place in the ocean and throws a bucket over 10,000 times and measures
the water temp each time. The 1000s of measurements are all different
ships at different times travelling through the region.  That kind of
spread makes any overall patterns more robust.  So whether incredible
or not, the result is likely to be "real" in some sense.

So I tossed the whole result data over to the plotting programs I
cooked up for the "flying saucer" maps I posted recently.  They
plotted out some color maps of the world and the strength of the
association with local weather -- mostly water temperatures (both
surface and going deeper thanks to those bucket measurements), but
also cloud measurements, different land-based temperature datasets
from around the world, and salinity and pH measurements of water in
lakes across Russia and the US.

And the maps are here: <kym.massbus.org/UFO/GHOSTSHIPS>.

The first plot shows the map of the whole world. We see -- mostly --
that 3 small areas seem to be lit up like Xmas. It seems the dates of
the ghost ships (the AI's were not given anything else -- they don't
know they are ships and don't know where they were found; just the
dates they were found) are closely predicted by water temps and other
local data at these key regions. The first ones the AIs found is off
the coast of NE Russia, near the Bering St.  The 2nd is again off N
Russia between some key offshore islands in the Kara Sea. And -- a bit
of a surprise given the AI's were not told where most ships were found --
a big hit around Bermuda.

This is often the way with AI software. You give it some numbers with
no clue what they are. And it figures out where the numbers come from.

As I said, the biggest correlation comes from the area off NE Russia.
The other 2 regions have about 1/3 of the correlation the best region
has.  The Bermuda hit is based on ocean water temps 100m down. So it's
not like it is talking about "ocean storms". If it found the
occurrence of ocean storms had anything to do with ghost ships it would
have said so.  It has as much data on ocean storms as anything else.
But the "most proximal cause" was water temps 100m down around Bermuda.

Also you can see from the maps many other regions give a weak
response.  If you look carefully you again see they hint at a list of
the "usual suspects" for paranormal happenings around the world.
A lot of (very slightly) pink regions also figure on those UFO maps I
posted a couple days back. If you riffle through the collection you
might even get an idea which kind of UFO's are most likely associated
with each spot.

But the standout thing for the regions off Russia -- no UFO type,
shape or color, stand up as being associated with them.  Either it's
an unusual UFO type that is not generally recognized as a thing, or the
areas nominated have something else going on there.  It would
otherwise seem they are far too distant from the Bermuda triangle to
have an obvious weather link. How can weather from far E Russia
affect ships in the Bermuda Triangle when weather more locally doesn't
seem to figure at all? (I'm counting water temps 100m under the sea
around Bermuda as *also* nothing to do with local weather; the AI's
could have found ocean storms or surface temps in the region had more
to do with ghost ships than underwater temps, but they didn't).

So we are left with a tantalizing hint. Something about these ocean
areas has "a lot to do with" the discovery of ships around the world
(not necessarily just in the Triangle) with no crew, no sign of
struggle, the life boats still attached, everything left as if ready
to have a meal. But the people have vanished.

The data is so good you might even be able to predict fairly
accurately when the next ghost ship will turn up somewhere.  One of
the contacts the boys on that program interviewed would be interested
in that. The guy that told them boats are "always" turning up empty in
the so-called "parking lot" also makes a living taking said empty
boats down to some place in Mexico and selling them for ready cash.
A pirate as one of the guys pointed out.  But he had some important
information. So what are you gunna do?

--
The US government portrays itself as the world's preeminent
superpower, so to acknowledge that there are things in their
airspace, whatever they are, that are faster and more manoeuvrable
and run rings around fast jets doesn't play very well.
So there's the embarrassment factor, and maybe a little bit of
fear that either an adversary has made a quantum leap in
development, which has left the US in a poor second place, or, as
some believe, this really is extra terrestrial, in which case we're
not at the top of the food chain anymore.
-- Nick Pope, 02 May 2023

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