Newsgroups: alt.ufo.reports
From: MrPostingRobot@kymhorsell.com
Subject: sky patrols apparently lead to lower covid

[uploaded 4 times; last 16/10/2024]

For a couple years I've been intrigued by the number of unusual
aircraft we see flying over my part of rural AUS in the evening.
Tonight was no exception. When I went out for my usual 1hr skywatch 4
light aircraft buzzed around for the duration. They came from various
"well known" directions and headed off to ditto.  Most of them carried
unusual arrays of lights. The average array seems to be hung off the
bottom of the plane from a framework that covers and area maybe up to
1/2 the size of the aircraft.  It typically has a few yuge lights,
typically yellow, that flash every few seconds.

Why any aircraft is flying around 6pm-9pm flashing big lights at the
ground we can only guess at.  And my guess -- maybe informed by a few
interactions between said light aircraft and other, non-conventional
aircraft, witnessed over the past few years -- they are trying to
scare someone off.

And now the evidence is starting to pile up that this kind of activity
seems to be paying dividends. While COVID here is still a thing, the
death rate has plummeted to 0. Hospitalizations are low and steady.

And it seems the numbers indicating that flying around at night
flashing yellow lights is a part of what has brought that about.

Stuck up a pole in my yard is a radio mike. It listens out for things
around the neighbourhood. Forget CCTV. The sound-scape tells you a lot
about what's going on. Back at the office the radio from the mike
comes in and gets analyzed, looking for simple patterns and adding
counts to a database when things are heard, esp if they are heard at
times the programs have determined are very significant.  There's been
a lot of data to learn from, so their models are now looking pretty
solid in a data sciency way.

One of the things we listen out for are the planes. You can pretty
much recognise each one by its engine. Apparently in an effort to be
low key as well as save some money -- the AUS govt is presently trying
to save up its nickels to buy some nuclear submarines along with all
the gear and personnel you need to keep them going when you're
starting out from nothing but 1 50yo experimental reactor in the
Sydney suburbs -- the planes are propeller jobs, mostly vintage prop
planes.  Some are single and some twin props. And you can hear them
easily even when they are just a dot in the sky.

In the past years this is the kind of data we're gathering about noisy
planes flying around at night:

2024.000 2 2024.003 1 2024.005 4 2024.008 2 2024.011 2 2024.014 3
2024.016 2 2024.025 3 2024.027 1 2024.033 1 2024.036 2 2024.038 3
2024.041 5 2024.044 2 2024.046 2 2024.049 2 2024.052 4 2024.055 2
2024.057 1 2024.060 3 2024.066 1 2024.068 3 2024.071 5 2024.074 2
2024.077 3 2024.079 1 2024.082 1 2024.085 2 2024.087 4 2024.090 2
2024.093 2 2024.096 2 2024.098 2 2024.101 3 2024.104 1 2024.107 4
2024.112 5 2024.115 1 2024.120 2 2024.123 2 2024.126 5 2024.131 1
2024.137 1 2024.139 3 2024.142 4 2024.148 2 2024.150 2 2024.153 3
2024.156 2 2024.158 1 2024.161 2 2024.164 1 2024.167 2 2024.169 3
2024.175 1 2024.178 1 2024.180 1 2024.183 2 2024.186 3 2024.191 2
2024.197 3 2024.199 1 2024.202 2 2024.208 3 2024.210 3 2024.213 2
2024.216 3 2024.219 3 2024.221 2 2024.224 2 2024.230 3 2024.235 3
2024.240 4 2024.243 1 2024.246 1 2024.251 1 2024.254 4 2024.257 2
2024.260 1 2024.265 3 2024.270 1 2024.276 1 2024.284 1 2024.292 2
2024.295 5 2024.301 4 2024.303 2 2024.306 3 2024.309 2 2024.314 2
2024.317 3 2024.320 2 2024.322 1 2024.328 1 2024.331 2 2024.336 2
2024.339 2 2024.342 3 2024.344 1 2024.347 4 2024.350 1 2024.352 2
2024.355 3 2024.358 2 2024.361 2 2024.363 2 2024.366 2 2024.369 2
2024.372 2 2024.374 3 2024.377 3 2024.380 1 2024.383 2 2024.385 1
2024.388 1 2024.391 2 2024.393 3 2024.396 2 2024.399 2 2024.402 1
2024.404 3 2024.407 2 2024.410 4 2024.413 1 2024.415 3 2024.418 1
2024.421 3 2024.423 1 2024.426 3 2024.429 3 2024.432 1 2024.437 3
2024.443 2 2024.445 3 2024.454 1 2024.456 1 2024.459 1 2024.462 1
2024.464 2 2024.470 1 2024.473 3 2024.475 2 2024.478 1 2024.481 3
2024.484 1 2024.486 2 2024.492 1 2024.495 1 2024.500 1 2024.511 1
2024.514 2 2024.516 1 2024.522 3 2024.530 2 2024.538 1 2024.541 1
2024.544 3 2024.549 1 2024.552 1 2024.555 1 2024.557 4 2024.560 4
2024.563 4 2024.566 4 2024.568 1 2024.571 2 2024.577 3 2024.579 1
2024.582 2 2024.585 1 2024.590 2 2024.593 1 2024.596 4 2024.598 1
2024.601 2 2024.609 1 2024.612 3 2024.615 2 2024.617 2 2024.620 5
2024.623 2 2024.628 1 2024.631 2 2024.634 1 2024.637 1 2024.639 1
2024.642 4 2024.645 1 2024.648 1 2024.653 1 2024.656 1 2024.658 1
2024.661 1 2024.664 3 2024.667 4 2024.669 2 2024.672 1 2024.675 4
2024.678 2 2024.680 5 2024.683 2 2024.686 3 2024.689 2 2024.691 3
2024.694 4 2024.697 4 2024.699 3 2024.702 2 2024.705 2 2024.708 2
2024.710 2 2024.713 4 2024.716 1 2024.719 1 2024.721 1 2024.724 2
2024.727 1 2024.730 1 2024.735 1 2024.738 2 2024.740 3

The data are the dates and number of noisy aircraft passing nearby at
night within 5m of the hr and 1/2-hr. I think they do that so you
don't confuse them with commercial traffic that might be in the
control area of an international AP. Thanks guys. ;)

And what the AI programs have been doing is lining such data up
against hospitalizations and deaths from COVID, these days released by
state and federal govts sometime Fri, Sat, Sun most weeks.

And it seems the MORE of these flights that we see, the lower the
hospitalization and death rates from COVID a couple weeks later.  The
lag is what tells you the flights are affecting the development of new
cases. (Added complications include the weekly data announcements that
cover the wk prior and sometimes quite old data that was "just
discovered"). If there was no lag you might just think something like
"as COVID declines, more people take nightly joy flights".  (Of course
you then have to explain why they are flashing these big arrays of
lights; sometimes just randomly and sometimes while they are flying
inside cloud).

Here is the last cab off the rank. The AI programs searched for a
validated model that best explains published COVID deaths over the
past 9m.

(10% random sample of output to save space).
Date               rate of flights  rate of deaths   model
2024.290            134.686000       2221.5      1929.56
2024.295            146.399000       2482.2      1903.29*
2024.284            262.617000      2299.43       1719.2*
2024.481            364.351000       2120.9      1616.05*
2024.601            398.700000      484.216      1587.67**
2024.604            407.250000      507.333      1580.99**
2024.205            433.485000      3748.26      1561.32**
2024.344            437.500000      1148.68      1558.41*
2024.645            462.135000      1247.95      1541.16
2024.639            492.444000      1163.63      1521.15*
2024.587            520.270000      715.815      1503.83**
2024.393            600.572000      1812.94      1458.61*
2024.497            604.937000      2042.31      1456.33*
2024.719            634.234000      34.4828      1441.43**
2024.107            684.216000      3708.65      1417.54**
2024.372            690.456000       2957.5      1414.68**
2024.568            708.611000      1424.38       1406.5
2024.699            826.804000      56.4072       1357.9**
2024.486            881.606000      1159.66      1337.69
2024.232           1002.410000      1238.47      1297.23
2024.697           1051.260000      54.5791      1282.24**
2024.224           1100.000000      1853.74      1267.96*
2024.579           1300.340000      890.443      1215.26*
2024.694           1304.390000      55.4287      1214.28**

MODEL:
Durbin-Watson d = 0.092854
d < dL (1.659956):  Positive auto-corr at 5%
(Serial corr detected; estimated rho = 0.928818)
y = -3.15025809e+02*log(x) + 3.47411018e+03
beta in -315.026 +- 93.2384  (90% CI)
alpha in 3474.11 +- 66.5076
T-test: P(beta<0) = 1.000000
Rank test: calculated Spearman corr = -0.380960
	Critical val = 0.306000 2-sided at 5%; reject H0:not_connected
r2 = 0.10225803

The flights seem to prevent around 10% of COVID deaths in some way.
The usual 2 stats tests show less than 10% likelihood it was a "just
coincidence".

The table shows "rate of flights" (a calculation that smooths the
number of flights per day over 3 days into an estimate of the number of
flights per year at that point) versus the "rate of deaths". I've
ordered the table to show there is a good relationship between flights
and deaths -- the higher the rate of flights the lower the rate of
deaths, irrespective of whether that was at the start of 2024 or
around now.

Because the model involves the log of the flight rate it works out
when the number of flights is doubled the rate of deaths goes down by
around 315*log(2) = 218.

The stars at the end of each line show how close the model estimate is
to the actual value we get from the announced data at the end of each
week. It isn't very close. Most lines in the table are "out" (1 star)
or "very out" (2 stars). The data is very very noisy.  Nevertheless,
the ordering of the flight column is robustly the opposite of the
order of the deaths column. And the model formula calculates the death
rate consistently better than a guess.

During the lock-down months of the pandemic the skies locally were
"alive" with odd lights at night and even odder things going across
the sky during the day. Think of any type of UFO type you've heard of.
We saw one. And some I couldn't find listed in at last the NUFORC
database for the past 70y. (A copper-colored dumbbell moving slowly
across the midday sky, seemingly symmetric teardrop shapes point to
point in a slow flat spin, the whole thing moving at a constant speed,
const elevation, in a straight line.  Rough calculations with angular
size and nearby fluffy clouds at el ~45 deg as a reference, suggest
the thing was 30m from one end to the other).

When the local airport re-opened and these odd aircraft flights
started up again, then "ramped up to 11" over the next 6-12m, the
strange daytime objects disappeared and the nighttime lights became
less and less and less obvious. Where we once saw dozens of lights at
night, sometimes chased by Chinook helicopters, we might now see only 1
or 2.

So it looks like the light aircraft have achieved their goals and one
of the outcomes is apparently a spooky-parallel reduction in COVID.

--
[Martians Bad Fer Bidness!]
US Scientist Warns Excessive Alien Talk Could Create Societal Problems
CNN-News18, 09 Sep 2024 05:41Z
Recently, a former US intelligence officer claimed that aliens are hiding on
Earth. These talks have led to people believing ...

Building block of life found in sample from asteroid Ryugu
Space.com, 21 Mar 2023
The discovery of the nucleobase uracil is a big step forward for astrobiology.
One of the four nucleobases of RNA has been discovered in samples retrieved
from the asteroid Ryugu, providing the strongest evidence yet that the
organic building blocks for life on Earth came from space.

Meet the American who reported the first sensational UFO encounters, Puritan
leader John Winthrop
AOL, 27 Sep 2024 10:31Z
Meet the American who shared sensational accounts of UFO encounters. John
Winthrop was the leader of the Massachusetts Bay ...

  Are UFO's real? Historical markers say yes
  WLRN, 27 Sep 2024 10:27Z
  Historical markers were once just for American history. But many now claim
  aliens have visited earth from outer space -- and ...

What Really Happened at the Pentagon's Once-Hidden UFO Office?
ScAm, 26 Sep 2024 11:09Z
An office in the Pentagon investigated UFOs--and the paranormal--over a
decade ago, segueing into a long saga leading to Congressional hearings and
breathless...

UFO whistleblower says huge alien announcement is 'months away' and will
be 'dramatic'
Irish Star on MSN, 25 Sep 2024 01:56Z
A man who claims to have been part of a top-secret US Air Force intelligence
unit tasked with maintaining a 70-year truce ...

First image released of 'cylindrical' UFO shot down by US fighter jet over
Alaska in 2023
Daily Mail, 24 Sep 2024 23:16Z
Canada has released the first-ever image of the UFO shot down during a chase
above Alaska and the Yukon that followed the ...

Former National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster adds to UFO speculation
The Hill, 17 Sep 2024
McMaster stated that "there are phenomena that have been witnessed by
multiple people that are just inexplicable by any kind of science available
to us."

Concerns Over Unauthorized UAS Incidents Prompt New International Defense
Collaboration
The Debrief/Micah Hanks, 23 Sept 2024
A new initiative seeks to mitigate concerns associated with
unauthorized incursions by unmanned aerial systems (UAS) by developing
innovative new counter-drone technologies.
The initiative, a collaboration between the Pentagon's Defense
Innovation Unit (DIU) and Singapore's Ministry of Defence, aims to
leverage technologies to enhance drone communications and offer novel
means of combatting unauthorized drone incursions through counter-UAS
capabilities.
[Interestingly, the biggest readers of my UFO articles are located in
Singapore. Do you believe in coincidences?]

New Paradigm Institute and Visible College Partner to Support Yale Student
UFO Society, First UAP Disclosure Teach-In
FOX21 News Colorado, 23 Sep 2024 19:09Z
It's an honor to host speakers with the intellectual candor and knowledge
required to address this complex issue for the Yale community.".

Senate defense committee to hold UFO hearing
The Hill on MSN.com, 17 Sep 2024 23:52Z
The Senate Armed Services Committee is looking to hold a UFO hearing after
the November elections, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's ...

  Truth is out there: Congress to get update on UFOs from Pentagon as
  Gillibrand presses for data
  New York Post, 15 Sep 2024 19:30Z
  Congress will soon be getting an update from the Pentagon on UFOs, according
  to New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand -- who says ...

  New UFO hearings to take place in Senate this month after new sighting
  MSN, 15 Sep 2024 18:34Z
  Another round of public UFO hearings are in store for Congress within
  mere weeks, according to a senior member of the Senate's Armed Services
  Committee.

  New UFO hearings to take place in Senate this month after new sighting
  Daily Mail on MSN.com, 15 Sep 2024 17:17Z
  The new Senate inquiry comes as many American civilians have reported their
  own UFO sightings - including a 'huge' UFO just ...